Port Vale x Crewe Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Port Vale x Crewe, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 20:00

Port Vale 1.83

X 3.35

Crewe 4.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Port Vale x Crewe:

🔮 Port Vale wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Port Vale, you can win up to $915.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Port Vale x Crewe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Port Vale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crewe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $190.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Port Vale scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Crewe scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Crewe matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Port Vale x Crewe, with Port Vale as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Port Vale conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Crewe has not lost any of them. 👉 Port Vale has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Crewe playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Port Vale x Crewe?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Port Vale x Crewe for the England League 2 – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Port Vale x Crewe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226828 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Port Vale x Crewe

Is it worth betting on Port Vale?

🔵 Port Vale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $572.70;
• And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$262.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $446.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$363.50.

Is it worth betting on Crewe?

🔴 Crewe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$484.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Port Vale x Crewe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Port Vale
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Port Vale x Crewe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Port Vale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Port Vale.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Port Vale.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Port Vale x Crewe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.