Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia Betting tips for November 26 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 00:15

Belgrano 2.00

X 3.10

Independiente Rivadavia 3.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia:

🔮 Belgrano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Belgrano, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Belgrano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Independiente Rivadavia, Belgrano scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Belgrano conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Belgrano has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Independiente Rivadavia playing at home.

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Analysis from Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 26 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Belgrano and Independiente Rivadavia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

Is it worth betting on Belgrano?

🔵 Belgrano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $590.00;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$180.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it worth betting on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔴 Independiente Rivadavia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $354.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$526.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Belgrano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Belgrano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Belgrano.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Independiente Rivadavia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Belgrano x Independiente Rivadavia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.