CA River Plate x Cerro Betting tips for November 26 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for CA River Plate x Cerro, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 12:45

CA River Plate 2.20

X 3.10

Cerro 3.16

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CA River Plate x Cerro:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for CA River Plate x Cerro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 CA River Plate did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cerro, CA River Plate scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 CA River Plate matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CA River Plate x Cerro, with CA River Plate as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, CA River Plate conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cerro.

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Analysis from CA River Plate x Cerro for the Uruguay Clausura – 26 of November

When the best bet on CA River Plate x Cerro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Cerro

Is it a good idea to bet on CA River Plate?

🔵 CA River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $444.00
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$186.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $882.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$302.00.

Should you bet on Cerro?

🔴 Cerro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $432.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$368.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA River Plate x Cerro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Cerro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CA River Plate, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CA River Plate.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA River Plate x Cerro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.