Fluminense x Criciuma Betting tips for November 26 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 26/11/2024 22:00 |
 Fluminense1.58 |
X 3.75 |
Criciuma  5.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fluminense x Criciuma:
🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $790.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Fluminense x Criciuma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0. |
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Analysis from Fluminense x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of November
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🏟️ Fluminense X Criciuma – Brazil Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fluminense and Criciuma.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fluminense x Criciuma
Is betting on Fluminense worth it?
🔵 Fluminense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $406.00;
- And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$106.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Is betting on Criciuma worth it?
🔴 Criciuma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $450.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Criciuma
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Criciuma
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Fluminense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Fluminense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Fluminense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Criciuma
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
