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Home » Predictions » Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 00h00 Uruguay Clausura
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
PREDICTION Penarol Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Penarol Penarol
ODD: @1.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
00:00
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
7.38
X
4.50
Penarol Penarol
1.34

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol:

🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $670.00!

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The main points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-22.0.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol, with Club Atletico Progreso as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol for the Uruguay Clausura – 27 of November

🏟️ Club Atletico Progreso X Penarol – Uruguay Clausura
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Club Atletico Progreso – Winning probability: 1.94% | Fair line: 51.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.12% | Fair line: 8.99
🔴 Penarol – Winning probability: 86.94% | Fair line: 1.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol

Should you bet on Club Atletico Progreso?

🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $127.60;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$852.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $385.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Penarol?

🔴 Penarol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $295.80
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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