Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude Betting tips for November 27 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 00:30

Atletico Mineiro 1.98

X 3.44

EC Juventude 3.64

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude

Important information for your tip for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against EC Juventude, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, EC Juventude conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Mineiro has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against EC Juventude.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Mineiro?

🔵 Atletico Mineiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $411.60;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $585.60
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Juventude?

🔴 EC Juventude: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $897.60
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$237.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Atletico Mineiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Mineiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 EC Juventude.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x EC Juventude

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.