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Home » Predictions » Palmeiras x Botafogo Betting tips for November 27 in Brazil Serie A
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie A
Palmeiras Palmeiras
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
Botafogo Botafogo
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Palmeiras x Botafogo Betting tips for November 27 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Botafogo, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
00:30
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1.81
X
3.40
Botafogo Botafogo
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Palmeiras x Botafogo:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Palmeiras x Botafogo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $66.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Palmeiras x Botafogo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Palmeiras x Botafogo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Palmeiras x Botafogo for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of November

🏟️ Palmeiras X Botafogo – Brazil Serie A
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Palmeiras – Winning probability: 57.98% | Fair line: 1.72
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.43% | Fair line: 3.52
🔴 Botafogo – Winning probability: 13.59% | Fair line: 7.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Palmeiras x Botafogo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Botafogo

Should you bet on Palmeiras?

🔵 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $469.80;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$49.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$48.00.

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔴 Botafogo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $448.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Botafogo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Palmeiras and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Palmeiras.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Palmeiras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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