Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL Betting tips for November 27 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 01:00

Atletico San Luis 3.20

X 3.40

Tigres UANL 2.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL:

🔮 Tigres UANL wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tigres UANL, you can win up to $1100.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $882.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tigres UANL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-112.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico San Luis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL, with Atletico San Luis as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico San Luis conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tigres UANL. 👉 Atletico San Luis is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Even as a visitor, Tigres UANL won the last 3 head-to-head matches Atletico San Luis´s territory

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Analysis from Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL for the Mexico Liga MX – 27 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226746 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL

Is it worth betting on Atletico San Luis?

🔵 Atletico San Luis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on Tigres UANL?

🔴 Tigres UANL: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Atletico San Luis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Atletico San Luis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Atletico San Luis.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Tigres UANL.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico San Luis x Tigres UANL

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.