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Home Β» Predictions Β» Al Naft SC x Al Karkh Betting tips for November 25 in Iraq League
Monday, 25 November 2024, 14h15 Iraq League
Al Naft SC Al Naft SC
PREDICTION No tip
Al Karkh Al Karkh
Don't miss this prediction!

Al Naft SC x Al Karkh Betting tips for November 25 in Iraq League

Our betting tip for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh, Monday, 25/11/2024
πŸ“… 25/11/2024
14:15
Al Naft SC Al Naft SC
2.53
X
2.95
Al Karkh Al Karkh
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh

Some important points for the tip for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Naft SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Karkh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $291.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Al Karkh scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Al Karkh matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Al Karkh conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Al Naft SC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Al Karkh playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Al Naft SC x Al Karkh for the Iraq League – 25 of November

🏟️ Al Naft SC X Al Karkh – Iraq League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2024 – 14:15
πŸ”΅ Al Naft SC – Winning probability: 35.09% | Fair line: 2.85
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.76% | Fair line: 2.96
πŸ”΄ Al Karkh – Winning probability: 31.15% | Fair line: 3.21
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Naft SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Al Naft SC x Al Karkh is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226828 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh

Is betting on Al Naft SC worth it?

πŸ”΅ Al Naft SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $535.50
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$114.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $663.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$3.00.

Is betting on Al Karkh worth it?

πŸ”΄ Al Karkh: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $527.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$163.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Al Naft SC x Al Karkh

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Al Naft SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Al Naft SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Al Naft SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Al Karkh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Naft SC x Al Karkh

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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