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Home » Predictions » Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC Betting tips for November 26 in Mexico Segunda Division
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 03h00 Mexico Segunda Division
Cimarrones de Sonora FC II Cimarrones de Sonora FC II
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 29% 1 X 2
Aguacateros de Peribán FC Aguacateros de Peribán FC
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC Betting tips for November 26 in Mexico Segunda Division

Our betting tip for Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
03:00
Cimarrones de Sonora FC II Cimarrones de Sonora FC II
2.04
X
3.50
Aguacateros de Peribán FC Aguacateros de Peribán FC
3.09

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cimarrones de Sonora FC II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguacateros de Peribán FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $71.0.
👉 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cimarrones de Sonora FC II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC for the Mexico Segunda Division – 26 of November

🏟️ Cimarrones de Sonora FC II X Aguacateros de Peribán FC – Mexico Segunda Division
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 03:00
🔵 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II – Winning probability: 49.72% | Fair line: 2.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.27% | Fair line: 3.42
🔴 Aguacateros de Peribán FC – Winning probability: 21.01% | Fair line: 4.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227805 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

Is betting on Cimarrones de Sonora FC II worth it?

🔵 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $725.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$15.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Aguacateros de Peribán FC?

🔴 Aguacateros de Peribán FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $438.90;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$351.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cimarrones de Sonora FC II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cimarrones de Sonora FC II x Aguacateros de Peribán FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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