Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for November 28 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 28/11/2024 00:15 |
 Cerro Largo2.78 |
X 3.00 |
Defensor Sporting  2.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting:
🔮 Defensor Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Defensor Sporting, you can win up to $1250.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro Largo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0. |
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Analysis from Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting for the Uruguay Clausura – 28 of November
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🏟️ Cerro Largo X Defensor Sporting – Uruguay Clausura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
Is betting on Cerro Largo worth it?
🔵 Cerro Largo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $373.80;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$416.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $700.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$50.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on Defensor Sporting worth it?
🔴 Defensor Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $660.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cerro Largo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cerro Largo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cerro Largo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cerro Largo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro Largo x Defensor Sporting
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
