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Home » Predictions » Others » Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme Betting tips for November 27 in Italy Serie C Cup
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 17h00 Italy Serie C Cup
Padova Padova
PREDICTION Padova wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
ASD Caldiero Terme ASD Caldiero Terme
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme Betting tips for November 27 in Italy Serie C Cup

Our betting tip for Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
17:00
Padova Padova
1.36
X
4.20
ASD Caldiero Terme ASD Caldiero Terme
7.76

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme:

🔮 Padova wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Padova, you can win up to $680.00!

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The main points for the tip for Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Padova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $126.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Caldiero Terme in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme for the Italy Serie C Cup – 27 of November

🏟️ Padova X ASD Caldiero Terme – Italy Serie C Cup
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Padova – Winning probability: 92.65% | Fair line: 1.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.59% | Fair line: 17.9
🔴 ASD Caldiero Terme – Winning probability: 1.76% | Fair line: 56.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme

Is betting on Padova worth it?

🔵 Padova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – this would give you a profit of $334.80
  • And would lose other 70 times – losing -$70.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$264.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $192.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$748.00.

Is it worth betting on ASD Caldiero Terme?

🔴 ASD Caldiero Terme: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $135.20;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$844.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Padova
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Padova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Padova.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Padova.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Padova x ASD Caldiero Terme

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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