FK Qarabag x Lyon Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
📅 28/11/2024 17:45 |
FK Qarabag 3.45 |
X 3.75 |
Lyon 1.96 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Qarabag x Lyon:
🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $980.00!
Important information for your tip for FK Qarabag x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-104.0. |
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Analysis from FK Qarabag x Lyon for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November
🏟️ FK Qarabag X Lyon – UEFA Europa League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Qarabag x Lyon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228982 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Qarabag x Lyon
Should you bet on FK Qarabag?
🔵 FK Qarabag: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $465.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $412.50;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?
🔴 Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – profiting $633.60;
- And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$293.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Qarabag x Lyon
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Qarabag
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Qarabag x Lyon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FK Qarabag, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FK Qarabag.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 FK Qarabag.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Qarabag x Lyon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.