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Home » Predictions » Europa League » FK Qarabag x Lyon Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 17h45 UEFA Europa League
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
PREDICTION Lyon Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Lyon Lyon
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Qarabag x Lyon Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for FK Qarabag x Lyon, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
17:45
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
3.45
X
3.75
Lyon Lyon
1.96

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Qarabag x Lyon:

🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $980.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FK Qarabag x Lyon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-104.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-57.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 FK Qarabag matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lyon conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Lyon has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on FK Qarabag x Lyon?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FK Qarabag x Lyon:

Analysis from FK Qarabag x Lyon for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November

🏟️ FK Qarabag X Lyon – UEFA Europa League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 FK Qarabag – Winning probability: 19.37% | Fair line: 5.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.67% | Fair line: 6.82
🔴 Lyon – Winning probability: 65.96% | Fair line: 1.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Qarabag
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Qarabag x Lyon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228982 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Qarabag x Lyon

Should you bet on FK Qarabag?

🔵 FK Qarabag: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $465.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$344.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $412.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $633.60;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$293.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Qarabag x Lyon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Qarabag
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Qarabag x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FK Qarabag, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FK Qarabag.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 FK Qarabag.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Qarabag x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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