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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 17h45 UEFA Europa League
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Lazio wins Probability 92% 1 X 2
Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
17:45
Lazio Lazio
1.30
X
5.25
Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad
9.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $380.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lazio scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ludogorets Razgrad scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Lazio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Ludogorets Razgrad matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Lazio is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Ludogorets Razgrad has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November

🏟️ Lazio X Ludogorets Razgrad – UEFA Europa League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Lazio – Winning probability: 92.45% | Fair line: 1.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.84% | Fair line: 20.65
🔴 Ludogorets Razgrad – Winning probability: 2.71% | Fair line: 36.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228982 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad

Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 92.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – profiting $276.00;
  • And would lose other 80 times – having a loss of -$80.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$196.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $212.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$737.50.

Is it worth betting on Ludogorets Razgrad?

🔴 Ludogorets Razgrad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $255.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$715.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Lazio.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Ludogorets Razgrad

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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