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Home » Predictions » Europa League » FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
FC Twente FC Twente
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
20:00
FC Twente FC Twente
2.24
X
3.40
Union Saint Gilloise Union Saint Gilloise
3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-248.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Saint Gilloise in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Union Saint Gilloise scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Union Saint Gilloise has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November

🏟️ FC Twente X Union Saint Gilloise – UEFA Europa League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 FC Twente – Winning probability: 40.26% | Fair line: 2.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.71% | Fair line: 2.8
🔴 Union Saint Gilloise – Winning probability: 24.03% | Fair line: 4.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228982 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise

Should you bet on FC Twente?

🔵 FC Twente: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $496.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $864.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$224.00.

Should you bet on Union Saint Gilloise?

🔴 Union Saint Gilloise: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Twente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x Union Saint Gilloise

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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