Braga x TSG Hoffenheim Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
| 📅 28/11/2024 20:00 |
 Braga2.10 |
X 3.62 |
TSG Hoffenheim  2.86 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga x TSG Hoffenheim:
🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $1050.00!
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The main points for the tip for Braga x TSG Hoffenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-22.0. |
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Analysis from Braga x TSG Hoffenheim for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November
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🏟️ Braga X TSG Hoffenheim – UEFA Europa League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Braga and TSG Hoffenheim.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228982 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Braga x TSG Hoffenheim
Is it worth betting on Braga?
🔵 Braga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $682.00;
- And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$302.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $497.80;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$312.20.
Is it worth betting on TSG Hoffenheim?
🔴 TSG Hoffenheim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $353.40;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x TSG Hoffenheim
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x TSG Hoffenheim
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Braga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Braga.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Braga.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x TSG Hoffenheim
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
