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Home » Predictions » Europa League » Real Sociedad x Ajax Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League
Thursday, 28 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Europa League
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
PREDICTION Ajax Wins Probability 30% 1 X 2
Ajax Ajax
ODD: @4.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Sociedad x Ajax Betting tips for November 28 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Real Sociedad x Ajax, Thursday, 28/11/2024
📅 28/11/2024
20:00
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
1.80
X
3.70
Ajax Ajax
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Sociedad x Ajax:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $2100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Real Sociedad x Ajax:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Real Sociedad matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Ajax has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Real Sociedad x Ajax?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Real Sociedad x Ajax:

Analysis from Real Sociedad x Ajax for the UEFA Europa League – 28 of November

🏟️ Real Sociedad X Ajax – UEFA Europa League
📅 28 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Real Sociedad – Winning probability: 43.99% | Fair line: 2.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.44% | Fair line: 3.93
🔴 Ajax – Winning probability: 30.57% | Fair line: 3.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Sociedad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Sociedad x Ajax right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228982 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Sociedad x Ajax

Is it worth betting on Real Sociedad?

🔵 Real Sociedad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $675.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax?

🔴 Ajax: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $992.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$302.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Sociedad x Ajax

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Sociedad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Sociedad x Ajax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Real Sociedad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Real Sociedad.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Sociedad x Ajax

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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