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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana Betting tips for November 29 in Bulgaria Second League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 10h00 Bulgaria Second League
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
PREDICTION No tip
Montana Montana
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Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana Betting tips for November 29 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana, Friday, 29/11/2024
πŸ“… 29/11/2024
10:00
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
2.22
X
3.12
Montana Montana
2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana

Some important points for the tip for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-64.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Montana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $156.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Montana scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Montana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Montana has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana for the Bulgaria Second League – 29 of November

🏟️ Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo X Montana – Bulgaria Second League
πŸ“… 29 of November, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo – Winning probability: 44.77% | Fair line: 2.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.06% | Fair line: 3.33
πŸ”΄ Montana – Winning probability: 25.17% | Fair line: 3.97
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana

Should you bet on Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

πŸ”΅ Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $549.00
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$1.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $636.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Montana?

πŸ”΄ Montana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$300.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo x Montana

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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