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Home » Predictions » Others » Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole Betting tips for November 29 in Poland I Liga
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h30 Poland I Liga
Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow
PREDICTION Ruch Chorzow wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Odra Opole Odra Opole
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole Betting tips for November 29 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
19:30
Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow
1.62
X
3.70
Odra Opole Odra Opole
4.64

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole:

🔮 Ruch Chorzow wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ruch Chorzow, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ruch Chorzow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $202.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Odra Opole in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ruch Chorzow scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Odra Opole scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Odra Opole, Ruch Chorzow scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Ruch Chorzow matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole, with Ruch Chorzow as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Odra Opole has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole for the Poland I Liga – 29 of November

🏟️ Ruch Chorzow X Odra Opole – Poland I Liga
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Ruch Chorzow – Winning probability: 70.34% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.36% | Fair line: 6.11
🔴 Odra Opole – Winning probability: 13.30% | Fair line: 7.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ruch Chorzow
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole

Is it worth betting on Ruch Chorzow?

🔵 Ruch Chorzow: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $434.00
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Odra Opole?

🔴 Odra Opole: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $473.20
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$396.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ruch Chorzow
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Ruch Chorzow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Ruch Chorzow.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ruch Chorzow x Odra Opole

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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