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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka Betting tips for November 29 in Kosovo Superliga
Friday, 29 November 2024, 12h00 Kosovo Superliga
KF Feronikeli KF Feronikeli
PREDICTION No tip
FC Suhareka FC Suhareka
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KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka Betting tips for November 29 in Kosovo Superliga

Our betting tip for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka, Friday, 29/11/2024
πŸ“… 29/11/2024
12:00
KF Feronikeli KF Feronikeli
3.22
X
3.22
FC Suhareka FC Suhareka
2.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka

Important information for your tip for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KF Feronikeli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Suhareka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Suhareka scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, KF Feronikeli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Suhareka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for KF Feronikeli as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka for the Kosovo Superliga – 29 of November

🏟️ KF Feronikeli X FC Suhareka – Kosovo Superliga
πŸ“… 29 of November, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ KF Feronikeli – Winning probability: 25.91% | Fair line: 3.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.44% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ FC Suhareka – Winning probability: 43.66% | Fair line: 2.29
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KF Feronikeli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229376 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka

Is betting on KF Feronikeli worth it?

πŸ”΅ KF Feronikeli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $577.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$162.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Suhareka?

πŸ”΄ FC Suhareka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $448.80;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$111.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KF Feronikeli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 KF Feronikeli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 KF Feronikeli.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 KF Feronikeli.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Feronikeli x FC Suhareka

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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