FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa Betting tips for November 30 in Russia Division 1
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30/11/2024 11:00 |
 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk1.80 |
X 3.25 |
FC Ufa  4.20 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa
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The main points for the tip for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa: π If you had bet $100 on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $63.0. |
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Analysis from FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa for the Russia Division 1 – 30 of November
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ποΈ FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk X FC Ufa – Russia Division 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk and FC Ufa.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229758 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa
Is it a good idea to bet on FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
π΅ FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $440.00;
- And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$10.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $652.50
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$57.50.
Is betting on FC Ufa worth it?
π΄ FC Ufa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $512.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$328.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 FC Ufa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk x FC Ufa
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
