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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Augsburg x Bochum Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Augsburg Augsburg
PREDICTION Augsburg wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Bochum Bochum
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Augsburg x Bochum Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Augsburg x Bochum, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:30
Augsburg Augsburg
1.72
X
3.90
Bochum Bochum
4.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Augsburg x Bochum:

🔮 Augsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Augsburg, you can win up to $860.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1950.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Augsburg x Bochum:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $332.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Augsburg did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bochum conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bochum.
👉 It is not a good time for Bochum as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Augsburg x Bochum for the Germany Bundesliga I – 30 of November

🏟️ Augsburg X Bochum – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Augsburg – Winning probability: 65.37% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.74% | Fair line: 3.61
🔴 Bochum – Winning probability: 6.89% | Fair line: 14.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Augsburg and Bochum.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Augsburg x Bochum

Is betting on Augsburg worth it?

🔵 Augsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$118.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $812.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bochum?

🔴 Bochum: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $248.50
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$681.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Augsburg x Bochum

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Augsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Augsburg x Bochum

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Augsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Augsburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Bochum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Augsburg x Bochum

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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