Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina Betting tips for November 30 in Czech Republic First League
📅 30/11/2024 15:00 |
Banik Ostrava 1.38 |
X 4.72 |
MFK Karvina 6.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina:
🔮 Banik Ostrava wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Banik Ostrava, you can win up to $690.00!
The main points for the tip for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Banik Ostrava in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $273.0. |
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Analysis from Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina for the Czech Republic First League – 30 of November
🏟️ Banik Ostrava X MFK Karvina – Czech Republic First League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina
Is it worth betting on Banik Ostrava?
🔵 Banik Ostrava: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $330.60;
- And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $297.60;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on MFK Karvina?
🔴 MFK Karvina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$740.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Banik Ostrava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Banik Ostrava, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Banik Ostrava.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.