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Home » Predictions » Others » Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina Betting tips for November 30 in Czech Republic First League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Czech Republic First League
Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava
PREDICTION Banik Ostrava wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
MFK Karvina MFK Karvina
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina Betting tips for November 30 in Czech Republic First League

Our betting tip for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava
1.38
X
4.72
MFK Karvina MFK Karvina
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina:

🔮 Banik Ostrava wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Banik Ostrava, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Banik Ostrava in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $273.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on MFK Karvina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Banik Ostrava scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, MFK Karvina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against MFK Karvina, Banik Ostrava scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Banik Ostrava matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina, with Banik Ostrava as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Banik Ostrava did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, MFK Karvina conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Banik Ostrava conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against MFK Karvina.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina for the Czech Republic First League – 30 of November

🏟️ Banik Ostrava X MFK Karvina – Czech Republic First League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Banik Ostrava – Winning probability: 87.39% | Fair line: 1.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.33% | Fair line: 12.01
🔴 MFK Karvina – Winning probability: 4.29% | Fair line: 23.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Banik Ostrava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina

Is it worth betting on Banik Ostrava?

🔵 Banik Ostrava: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $330.60;
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $297.60;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on MFK Karvina?

🔴 MFK Karvina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$740.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Banik Ostrava
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Banik Ostrava, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Banik Ostrava.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Banik Ostrava x MFK Karvina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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