Almeria x Granada Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Almeria x Granada, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:15

Almeria 1.86

X 3.60

Granada 3.81

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Almeria x Granada:

🔮 Granada wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Granada, you can win up to $1905.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Almeria x Granada: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $179.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Granada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $607.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Granada scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Granada, Almeria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Almeria matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Almeria is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Almeria has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Granada playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Almeria x Granada?

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Analysis from Almeria x Granada for the Spain Segunda – 30 of November

When the best bet on Almeria x Granada is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Almeria x Granada

Is it worth betting on Almeria?

🔵 Almeria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $301.00
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$349.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $442.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Granada?

🔴 Granada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $1348.80;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$828.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Almeria x Granada

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Almeria
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almeria x Granada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Almeria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Almeria.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Granada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almeria x Granada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.