NAC x Almere City FC Betting tips for November 30 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NAC x Almere City FC, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:30

NAC 2.16

X 3.50

Almere City FC 3.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NAC x Almere City FC:

🔮 NAC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NAC, you can win up to $1080.00!

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The main points for the tip for NAC x Almere City FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $245.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Almere City FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Almere City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, NAC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Almere City FC. 👉 It is not a good time for Almere City FC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from NAC x Almere City FC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NAC x Almere City FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NAC x Almere City FC

Is it worth betting on NAC?

🔵 NAC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $696.00;
• And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$296.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.00.

Should you bet on Almere City FC?

🔴 Almere City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $387.60;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$442.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match NAC x Almere City FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NAC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NAC x Almere City FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 NAC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 NAC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 NAC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NAC x Almere City FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.