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Home » Predictions » Others » Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas Betting tips for November 30 in Cyprus Division 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 17h30 Cyprus Division 1
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
PREDICTION Apollon Limassol wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Ethnikos Achnas Ethnikos Achnas
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas Betting tips for November 30 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
17:30
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
1.48
X
4.20
Ethnikos Achnas Ethnikos Achnas
5.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas:

🔮 Apollon Limassol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Apollon Limassol, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Apollon Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-229.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethnikos Achnas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 3 Apollon Limassol matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Ethnikos Achnas has not lost any of them.
👉 Apollon Limassol has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ethnikos Achnas playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas for the Cyprus Division 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Apollon Limassol X Ethnikos Achnas – Cyprus Division 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Apollon Limassol – Winning probability: 81.64% | Fair line: 1.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.95% | Fair line: 7.72
🔴 Ethnikos Achnas – Winning probability: 5.41% | Fair line: 18.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Apollon Limassol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas

Is betting on Apollon Limassol worth it?

🔵 Apollon Limassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $393.60;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$213.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Ethnikos Achnas worth it?

🔴 Ethnikos Achnas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $210.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Apollon Limassol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Apollon Limassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Apollon Limassol.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Apollon Limassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apollon Limassol x Ethnikos Achnas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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