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Home » Predictions » Others » Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz Betting tips for November 30 in Poland I Liga
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 18h35 Poland I Liga
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
PREDICTION Wisla Krakow wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
LKS Lodz LKS Lodz
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz Betting tips for November 30 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
18:35
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
1.50
X
4.08
LKS Lodz LKS Lodz
5.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz:

🔮 Wisla Krakow wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wisla Krakow, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wisla Krakow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on LKS Lodz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $207.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, LKS Lodz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Wisla Krakow matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, LKS Lodz has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz for the Poland I Liga – 30 of November

🏟️ Wisla Krakow X LKS Lodz – Poland I Liga
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 18:35
🔵 Wisla Krakow – Winning probability: 78.98% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.62% | Fair line: 9.42
🔴 LKS Lodz – Winning probability: 10.40% | Fair line: 9.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Wisla Krakow
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz

Is it worth betting on Wisla Krakow?

🔵 Wisla Krakow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $395.00;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$185.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $338.80;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$551.20.

Is it worth betting on LKS Lodz?

🔴 LKS Lodz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $402.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$498.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Wisla Krakow
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Wisla Krakow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Wisla Krakow.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wisla Krakow x LKS Lodz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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