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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM Betting tips for December 1 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 01h00 Honduras Liga Nacional
Real Espana Real Espana
PREDICTION Real Espana wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM Betting tips for December 1 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
01:00
Real Espana Real Espana
1.48
X
3.95
Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM
5.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM:

🔮 Real Espana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Espana, you can win up to $740.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Espana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lobos UPNFM in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lobos UPNFM, Real Espana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lobos UPNFM matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Real Espana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lobos UPNFM conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Real Espana has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Lobos UPNFM.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 1 of December

🏟️ Real Espana X Lobos UPNFM – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Real Espana – Winning probability: 85.40% | Fair line: 1.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.51% | Fair line: 8.69
🔴 Lobos UPNFM – Winning probability: 3.09% | Fair line: 32.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Real Espana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Espana and Lobos UPNFM.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

Is it worth betting on Real Espana?

🔵 Real Espana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 85.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $408.00;
  • And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$258.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $354.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$526.00.

Should you bet on Lobos UPNFM?

🔴 Lobos UPNFM: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $142.50;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$827.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Real Espana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Real Espana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Real Espana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Real Espana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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