Guimaraes B x Braganca Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Guimaraes B x Braganca, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Guimaraes B 2.40

X 3.20

Braganca 2.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Guimaraes B x Braganca:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Guimaraes B x Braganca

Some important points for the tip for Guimaraes B x Braganca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braganca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $595.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Guimaraes B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Braganca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Braganca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Braganca conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Analysis from Guimaraes B x Braganca for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guimaraes B x Braganca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guimaraes B x Braganca

Is it worth betting on Guimaraes B?

🔵 Guimaraes B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $546.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $528.00;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Braganca?

🔴 Braganca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $568.80
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$71.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes B x Braganca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Guimaraes B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes B x Braganca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Guimaraes B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Guimaraes B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Guimaraes B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes B x Braganca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.