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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cinfaes x AD Marco 09 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Cinfaes Cinfaes
PREDICTION No tip
AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09
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Cinfaes x AD Marco 09 Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Cinfaes Cinfaes
2.00
X
3.00
AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09
3.52

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09

The main points for the tip for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cinfaes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Marco 09 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Cinfaes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 AD Marco 09 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Cinfaes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cinfaes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, AD Marco 09 has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cinfaes x AD Marco 09?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cinfaes x AD Marco 09:

Analysis from Cinfaes x AD Marco 09 for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Cinfaes X AD Marco 09 – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Cinfaes – Winning probability: 43.64% | Fair line: 2.29
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.49% | Fair line: 2.9
πŸ”΄ AD Marco 09 – Winning probability: 21.87% | Fair line: 4.57
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cinfaes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cinfaes and AD Marco 09.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09

Is it a good idea to bet on Cinfaes?

πŸ”΅ Cinfaes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on AD Marco 09?

πŸ”΄ AD Marco 09: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $554.40
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$225.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cinfaes x AD Marco 09

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cinfaes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cinfaes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cinfaes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cinfaes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cinfaes x AD Marco 09

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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