Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Benfica e Castelo Branco 2.62

X 3.00

GD Peniche 2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica e Castelo Branco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Peniche in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-123.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against GD Peniche, Benfica e Castelo Branco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 GD Peniche matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche, with Benfica e Castelo Branco as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Benfica e Castelo Branco has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against GD Peniche playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche:

Analysis from Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

When the best bet on Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche

Should you bet on Benfica e Castelo Branco?

🔵 Benfica e Castelo Branco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $502.20;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$187.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $760.00
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

Is betting on GD Peniche worth it?

🔴 GD Peniche: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $465.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Benfica e Castelo Branco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Benfica e Castelo Branco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Benfica e Castelo Branco.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Benfica e Castelo Branco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica e Castelo Branco x GD Peniche

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.