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Home » Predictions » Others » Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Arronches e Benfica Arronches e Benfica
PREDICTION No tip
Alverca B Alverca B
Don't miss this prediction!

Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Arronches e Benfica Arronches e Benfica
2.00
X
3.00
Alverca B Alverca B
3.57

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B

Important information for your tip for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arronches e Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-54.0.
👉 In the last 5 Arronches e Benfica matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Arronches e Benfica X Alverca B – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Arronches e Benfica – Winning probability: 45.84% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.01% | Fair line: 2.86
🔴 Alverca B – Winning probability: 19.15% | Fair line: 5.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arronches e Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arronches e Benfica and Alverca B.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B

Is it a good idea to bet on Arronches e Benfica?

🔵 Arronches e Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $460.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $700.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Alverca B?

🔴 Alverca B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $488.30;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$321.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arronches e Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Arronches e Benfica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Arronches e Benfica.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Alverca B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arronches e Benfica x Alverca B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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