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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Mojados x Arandina Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
CD Mojados CD Mojados
PREDICTION Arandina Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Arandina Arandina
ODD: @2.31 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Mojados x Arandina Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for CD Mojados x Arandina, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
CD Mojados CD Mojados
2.91
X
3.00
Arandina Arandina
2.31

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Mojados x Arandina:

🔮 Arandina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arandina, you can win up to $1155.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for CD Mojados x Arandina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mojados in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arandina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $205.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arandina conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on CD Mojados x Arandina?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Mojados x Arandina, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Mojados x Arandina for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 30 of November

🏟️ CD Mojados X Arandina – Spain Tercera Group 8
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 CD Mojados – Winning probability: 21.67% | Fair line: 4.62
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.90% | Fair line: 3.34
🔴 Arandina – Winning probability: 48.44% | Fair line: 2.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Mojados
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Mojados and Arandina.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Mojados x Arandina

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Mojados?

🔵 CD Mojados: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $420.20;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on Arandina worth it?

🔴 Arandina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $628.80;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$108.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Mojados x Arandina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Mojados
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Mojados x Arandina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 CD Mojados and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CD Mojados.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Arandina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Mojados x Arandina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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