Mexico FC x CD Galapagar Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Mexico FC x CD Galapagar, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:15

Mexico FC 2.40

X 3.20

CD Galapagar 2.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mexico FC x CD Galapagar:

🔮 CD Galapagar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Galapagar, you can win up to $1310.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Mexico FC x CD Galapagar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mexico FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Galapagar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mexico FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Galapagar scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against CD Galapagar, Mexico FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Mexico FC x CD Galapagar, with Mexico FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mexico FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CD Galapagar conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mexico FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against CD Galapagar. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, CD Galapagar has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Mexico FC x CD Galapagar for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 30 of November

When the best bet on Mexico FC x CD Galapagar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mexico FC x CD Galapagar

Is it worth betting on Mexico FC?

🔵 Mexico FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $350.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$24.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on CD Galapagar worth it?

🔴 CD Galapagar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $696.60;
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$126.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mexico FC x CD Galapagar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mexico FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mexico FC x CD Galapagar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Mexico FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Mexico FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 CD Galapagar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mexico FC x CD Galapagar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.