SD Beasain x Santurtzi Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for SD Beasain x Santurtzi, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:30

SD Beasain 1.86

X 3.30

Santurtzi 3.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SD Beasain x Santurtzi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for SD Beasain x Santurtzi

Important information for your tip for SD Beasain x Santurtzi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santurtzi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 4 SD Beasain matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 SD Beasain has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Santurtzi playing at home.

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Analysis from SD Beasain x Santurtzi for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 30 of November

When the best bet on SD Beasain x Santurtzi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Beasain x Santurtzi

Is it worth betting on SD Beasain?

🔵 SD Beasain: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $447.20
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$32.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it worth betting on Santurtzi?

🔴 Santurtzi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $611.60;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match SD Beasain x Santurtzi

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SD Beasain
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Beasain x Santurtzi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 SD Beasain, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 SD Beasain.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 SD Beasain.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Beasain x Santurtzi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.