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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 8
CD Laguna de Duero CD Laguna de Duero
PREDICTION Almazan Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Almazan Almazan
ODD: @2.01 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:30
CD Laguna de Duero CD Laguna de Duero
3.33
X
3.25
Almazan Almazan
2.01

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan:

🔮 Almazan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Almazan, you can win up to $1005.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Laguna de Duero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almazan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 30 of November

🏟️ CD Laguna de Duero X Almazan – Spain Tercera Group 8
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 CD Laguna de Duero – Winning probability: 15.77% | Fair line: 6.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.94% | Fair line: 4.01
🔴 Almazan – Winning probability: 59.29% | Fair line: 1.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Laguna de Duero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan

Should you bet on CD Laguna de Duero?

🔵 CD Laguna de Duero: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $372.80;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$467.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Should you bet on Almazan?

🔴 Almazan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $595.90
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Laguna de Duero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 CD Laguna de Duero and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CD Laguna de Duero.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Almazan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Laguna de Duero x Almazan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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