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Home » Predictions » Others » CD El Palo x Real Jaen Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 17h30 Spain Tercera Group 9
CD El Palo CD El Palo
PREDICTION Real Jaen Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Real Jaen Real Jaen
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

CD El Palo x Real Jaen Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for CD El Palo x Real Jaen, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
17:30
CD El Palo CD El Palo
4.24
X
3.60
Real Jaen Real Jaen
1.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD El Palo x Real Jaen:

🔮 Real Jaen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Jaen, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for CD El Palo x Real Jaen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD El Palo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Jaen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $161.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD El Palo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Real Jaen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Jaen, CD El Palo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Real Jaen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Real Jaen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CD El Palo has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Real Jaen playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on CD El Palo x Real Jaen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on CD El Palo x Real Jaen:

Analysis from CD El Palo x Real Jaen for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 30 of November

🏟️ CD El Palo X Real Jaen – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 CD El Palo – Winning probability: 9.36% | Fair line: 10.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Real Jaen – Winning probability: 66.40% | Fair line: 1.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD El Palo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD El Palo x Real Jaen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD El Palo x Real Jaen

Is it worth betting on CD El Palo?

🔵 CD El Palo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $291.60;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$618.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Jaen?

🔴 Real Jaen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $448.80;
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD El Palo x Real Jaen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD El Palo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD El Palo x Real Jaen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 CD El Palo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 CD El Palo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 CD El Palo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD El Palo x Real Jaen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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