AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense Betting tips for November 30 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 23:00

AD Guanacasteca 4.00

X 3.28

Alajuelense 1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!

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Important information for your tip for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $635.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AD Guanacasteca is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 AD Guanacasteca has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Alajuelense playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense

Is betting on AD Guanacasteca worth it?

🔵 AD Guanacasteca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $780.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $889.20;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$279.20.

Is betting on Alajuelense worth it?

🔴 Alajuelense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $280.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 AD Guanacasteca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 AD Guanacasteca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 AD Guanacasteca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Alajuelense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.