Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia Betting tips for November 30 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 12:00

Mara Sugar FC 3.04

X 3.10

Gor Mahia 2.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia

Some important points for the tip for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Mara Sugar FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Mara Sugar FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 30 of November

When the best bet on Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔵 Mara Sugar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $530.40
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$209.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $672.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔴 Gor Mahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $537.60
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$42.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Mara Sugar FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Gor Mahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mara Sugar FC x Gor Mahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.