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Home » Predictions » Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC Betting tips for November 30 in Angola Girabola
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Angola Girabola
Isaac de Benguela Isaac de Benguela
PREDICTION No tip
Carmona SC Carmona SC
Don't miss this prediction!

Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC Betting tips for November 30 in Angola Girabola

Our betting tip for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Isaac de Benguela Isaac de Benguela
2.78
X
2.88
Carmona SC Carmona SC
2.46

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC

The main points for the tip for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Isaac de Benguela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Carmona SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Carmona SC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC for the Angola Girabola – 30 of November

🏟️ Isaac de Benguela X Carmona SC – Angola Girabola
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Isaac de Benguela – Winning probability: 36.12% | Fair line: 2.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.57% | Fair line: 3.07
🔴 Carmona SC – Winning probability: 31.31% | Fair line: 3.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Isaac de Benguela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC

Should you bet on Isaac de Benguela?

🔵 Isaac de Benguela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $640.80;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$0.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $620.40;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Carmona SC?

🔴 Carmona SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $452.60;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$237.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Isaac de Benguela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Isaac de Benguela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Isaac de Benguela.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Isaac de Benguela.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Isaac de Benguela x Carmona SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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