Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama Betting tips for December 1 in Japan J-League Play-Offs
| 📅 1/12/2024 05:00 |
 Montedio Yamagata2.39 |
X 3.25 |
Fagiano Okayama  2.76 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama:
🔮 Fagiano Okayama wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fagiano Okayama, you can win up to $1380.00!
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Important information for your tip for Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montedio Yamagata in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $448.0. |
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Analysis from Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama for the Japan J-League Play-Offs – 1 of December
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🏟️ Montedio Yamagata X Fagiano Okayama – Japan J-League Play-Offs |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Montedio Yamagata and Fagiano Okayama.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230061 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama
Should you bet on Montedio Yamagata?
🔵 Montedio Yamagata: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $583.80;
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$3.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $405.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Fagiano Okayama?
🔴 Fagiano Okayama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $721.60;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$131.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Montedio Yamagata
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Montedio Yamagata and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Montedio Yamagata.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Montedio Yamagata.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montedio Yamagata x Fagiano Okayama
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
