Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce Betting tips for December 1 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Chrobry Glogow 2.21

X 3.28

MKP Pogon Siedlce 2.92

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce

Some important points for the tip for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chrobry Glogow in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on MKP Pogon Siedlce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, MKP Pogon Siedlce scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against MKP Pogon Siedlce, Chrobry Glogow scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 MKP Pogon Siedlce matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Chrobry Glogow conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, MKP Pogon Siedlce conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Chrobry Glogow has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against MKP Pogon Siedlce playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for MKP Pogon Siedlce as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce for the Poland I Liga – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce

Is betting on Chrobry Glogow worth it?

🔵 Chrobry Glogow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $556.60;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$16.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $638.40;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$81.60.

Is betting on MKP Pogon Siedlce worth it?

🔴 MKP Pogon Siedlce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $518.40;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$211.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chrobry Glogow
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Chrobry Glogow, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Chrobry Glogow.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 MKP Pogon Siedlce.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chrobry Glogow x MKP Pogon Siedlce

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.