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Home » Predictions » Others » Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Elche Ilicitano Elche Ilicitano
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 44% 1 X 2
Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
Elche Ilicitano Elche Ilicitano
2.30
X
3.00
Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Elche Ilicitano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Baleares in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 4 Elche Ilicitano matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ Elche Ilicitano X Atletico Baleares – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Elche Ilicitano – Winning probability: 31.22% | Fair line: 3.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 44.13% | Fair line: 2.27
🔴 Atletico Baleares – Winning probability: 24.65% | Fair line: 4.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Elche Ilicitano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares

Should you bet on Elche Ilicitano?

🔵 Elche Ilicitano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $403.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $880.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$320.00.

Should you bet on Atletico Baleares?

🔴 Atletico Baleares: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$300.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Elche Ilicitano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Elche Ilicitano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Elche Ilicitano.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elche Ilicitano x Atletico Baleares

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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