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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Badalona Futur x UE Cornella Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Badalona Futur Badalona Futur
PREDICTION No tip
UE Cornella UE Cornella
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Badalona Futur x UE Cornella Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
11:00
Badalona Futur Badalona Futur
2.11
X
3.00
UE Cornella UE Cornella
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella

The main points for the tip for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Badalona Futur in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UE Cornella in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against UE Cornella, Badalona Futur scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Badalona Futur matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ UE Cornella received red cards as the away team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Badalona Futur.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Badalona Futur conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, UE Cornella conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Badalona Futur has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against UE Cornella playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Badalona Futur x UE Cornella for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ Badalona Futur X UE Cornella – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Badalona Futur – Winning probability: 47.53% | Fair line: 2.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.92% | Fair line: 3.46
πŸ”΄ UE Cornella – Winning probability: 23.55% | Fair line: 4.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Badalona Futur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Badalona Futur and UE Cornella.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella

Is it worth betting on Badalona Futur?

πŸ”΅ Badalona Futur: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $532.80;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$12.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on UE Cornella?

πŸ”΄ UE Cornella: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Badalona Futur x UE Cornella

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Badalona Futur
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Badalona Futur and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Badalona Futur.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Badalona Futur x UE Cornella

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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