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Home » Predictions » Others » SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
SCR Pena Deportiva SCR Pena Deportiva
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Sabadell Sabadell
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
SCR Pena Deportiva SCR Pena Deportiva
2.85
X
3.10
Sabadell Sabadell
2.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SCR Pena Deportiva in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $238.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ SCR Pena Deportiva X Sabadell – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 SCR Pena Deportiva – Winning probability: 17.10% | Fair line: 5.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.47% | Fair line: 2.74
🔴 Sabadell – Winning probability: 46.42% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SCR Pena Deportiva
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell

Is it worth betting on SCR Pena Deportiva?

🔵 SCR Pena Deportiva: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $314.50
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$515.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $756.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sabadell?

🔴 Sabadell: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $611.80;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$71.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SCR Pena Deportiva
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 SCR Pena Deportiva and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 SCR Pena Deportiva.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SCR Pena Deportiva x Sabadell

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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