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Home » Predictions » Others » Aguilas x Linares Deportivo Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Aguilas Aguilas
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
ODD: @2.87 Don't miss this prediction!

Aguilas x Linares Deportivo Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Aguilas x Linares Deportivo, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
Aguilas Aguilas
2.16
X
2.87
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aguilas x Linares Deportivo:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1435.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Aguilas x Linares Deportivo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aguilas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Linares Deportivo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Linares Deportivo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Aguilas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Linares Deportivo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Aguilas x Linares Deportivo for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 1 of December

🏟️ Aguilas X Linares Deportivo – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Aguilas – Winning probability: 40.36% | Fair line: 2.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.09% | Fair line: 2.63
🔴 Linares Deportivo – Winning probability: 21.55% | Fair line: 4.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aguilas x Linares Deportivo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aguilas x Linares Deportivo

Is betting on Aguilas worth it?

🔵 Aguilas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $710.60;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$90.60.

Is betting on Linares Deportivo worth it?

🔴 Linares Deportivo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$274.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aguilas x Linares Deportivo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aguilas x Linares Deportivo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Aguilas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Aguilas. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aguilas x Linares Deportivo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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