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Home » Predictions » Others » Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze Betting tips for December 1 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h15 Poland Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
ODD: @3.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze Betting tips for December 1 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:15
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
2.45
X
3.22
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1610.00!

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Important information for your tip for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Korona Kielce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gornik Zabrze in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gornik Zabrze scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Gornik Zabrze matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Gornik Zabrze has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 1 of December

🏟️ Korona Kielce X Gornik Zabrze – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:15
🔵 Korona Kielce – Winning probability: 29.65% | Fair line: 3.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.88% | Fair line: 2.51
🔴 Gornik Zabrze – Winning probability: 30.46% | Fair line: 3.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Korona Kielce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze

Is it worth betting on Korona Kielce?

🔵 Korona Kielce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $435.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $888.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$288.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gornik Zabrze?

🔴 Gornik Zabrze: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Korona Kielce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Korona Kielce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Korona Kielce.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Korona Kielce x Gornik Zabrze

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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