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Home » Predictions » Others » CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948 Betting tips for December 1 in Romania Liga 2
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h15 Romania Liga 2
CS Concordia Chiajna CS Concordia Chiajna
PREDICTION No tip
FC U Craiova 1948 FC U Craiova 1948
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CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948 Betting tips for December 1 in Romania Liga 2

Our betting tip for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:15
CS Concordia Chiajna CS Concordia Chiajna
2.25
X
2.95
FC U Craiova 1948 FC U Craiova 1948
3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948

Important information for your tip for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CS Concordia Chiajna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $198.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC U Craiova 1948 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC U Craiova 1948 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948 for the Romania Liga 2 – 1 of December

🏟️ CS Concordia Chiajna X FC U Craiova 1948 – Romania Liga 2
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:15
🔵 CS Concordia Chiajna – Winning probability: 43.51% | Fair line: 2.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.40% | Fair line: 3.52
🔴 FC U Craiova 1948 – Winning probability: 28.09% | Fair line: 3.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CS Concordia Chiajna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948

Is betting on CS Concordia Chiajna worth it?

🔵 CS Concordia Chiajna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.00.

Should you bet on FC U Craiova 1948?

🔴 FC U Craiova 1948: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CS Concordia Chiajna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CS Concordia Chiajna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CS Concordia Chiajna.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CS Concordia Chiajna x FC U Craiova 1948

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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