Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B Betting tips for December 1 in Greece Super League 2
π
1/12/2024 12:00 |
Ilioupoli 1.93 |
X 3.06 |
AEK Athens B 3.96 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B
Some important points for the tip for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B: π If you had bet $100 on Ilioupoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $195.0. |
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Analysis from Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B for the Greece Super League 2 – 1 of December
ποΈ Ilioupoli X AEK Athens B – Greece Super League 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B
Should you bet on Ilioupoli?
π΅ Ilioupoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $465.00;
- And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $659.20
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$20.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on AEK Athens B worth it?
π΄ AEK Athens B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $532.80
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$287.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ilioupoli
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Ilioupoli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Ilioupoli. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ilioupoli x AEK Athens B
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.