Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala Betting tips for December 1 in Greece Super League 2

Our betting tip for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 12:00

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 2.25

X 2.83

Kavala 3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala

Important information for your tip for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Kavala scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Kavala conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala for the Greece Super League 2 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala

Should you bet on Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou?

🔵 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $462.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $603.90;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$66.10.

Should you bet on Kavala?

🔴 Kavala: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Kavala.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou x Kavala

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.